Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.261790 10.899538 12.703839 14.833801 17.273895 19.976182 23.189483
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.782134 8.886033 11.423687 14.688364 18.753035 23.621295 29.864826
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.361116 7.701457 10.749312 14.960307 20.570237 27.722413 37.455145
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.297274 6.703165 10.056349 14.985687 21.943671 31.293304 44.657757
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.526308 5.928040 9.486031 15.011871 23.215707 34.749835 51.941489
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.809607 5.077597 8.639522 14.465941 23.532416 36.821453 57.398322
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.369587 4.572866 8.219604 14.465613 24.593842 39.984919 64.609782
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.014754 4.139222 7.834325 14.441114 25.570064 43.049937 71.860311
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.854008 4.020410 7.951906 15.242039 27.920612 48.389353 82.964377
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.691359 3.865801 7.977193 15.871340 30.022887 53.468857 93.993474
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.561402 3.750881 8.053382 16.586932 32.318898 59.009373 106.118447
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.364969 3.460198 7.751284 16.560931 33.288391 62.382240 114.866001
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.124357 3.031271 7.124359 15.859825 33.001063 63.645923 120.269859
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.935169 2.679997 6.601993 15.294191 32.900049 65.214776 126.301917
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.828336 2.504826 6.427903 15.410588 34.105869 69.197082 136.825628
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.725317 2.316692 6.195127 15.370421 34.989402 72.638034 146.585084
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.639030 2.153695 5.994184 15.370585 35.944974 76.267088 156.901375
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.534010 1.912367 5.565677 14.802749 35.657461 77.482156 162.775107
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.471904 1.782326 5.392034 14.798252 36.558857 81.063950 173.338855
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.416828 1.660321 5.219061 14.771582 37.403103 84.578867 183.970592
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.401403 1.664258 5.383171 15.587949 40.193556 92.206851 203.083454
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.379919 1.642766 5.474012 16.229548 42.637041 99.266210 221.439339
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.362651 1.632279 5.594424 16.959254 45.340934 107.025498 241.601157